Brownian Motion & Stochastic Calculus

the reflection principle for Brownian motion

Here is a question that looks hard: what is the chance that a Brownian motion ever rises above some level a at any moment during [0, t]? Tracking the running maximum of a wildly wiggling path seems hopeless. The reflection principle is a gorgeous trick that turns this path-history question into a simple endpoint question you can answer with the Normal distribution. The idea is a mirror: every path that crosses level a can be paired with a reflected twin, and counting the twins is easy.

Here is the trick step by step. Suppose a path touches level a at some first time T (a stopping time) and ends below a. Reflect the part of the path AFTER T across the horizontal line at height a — flip it like a mirror image. By the strong Markov property, the post-T continuation is a fresh symmetric Brownian motion, so the reflected path is just as likely as the original. The reflection sends an original path ending at a height x (below a) to a twin ending at 2a - x (above a). This pairing shows: P(max over [0,t] of B exceeds a, and B(t) below a) = P(B(t) above a). Adding the paths that end above a (which obviously had a max above a) gives the clean formula P(max over [0,t] of B at least a) = 2 P(B(t) at least a) = 2 P(Normal(0,t) at least a). The running maximum is twice as likely to have exceeded a as the endpoint alone is to lie above a.

From this one identity flow the headline distributions of Brownian motion. The maximum over [0, t] has the same law as the absolute value |B(t)| (a 'folded Normal'). The first time the path hits level a has a known heavy-tailed density (its mean is actually infinite — the path always gets there eventually, but the waiting time has no finite average). These hitting-time and maximum results are the bread and butter of pricing barrier options and analysing first-passage problems. The principle is exact, but note it leans entirely on two ingredients: the symmetry of Brownian increments and the strong Markov restart at the hitting time.

What is the chance a standard Brownian motion ever exceeds level 1 during [0, 1]? By the reflection principle it is 2 P(B(1) at least 1) = 2 P(Normal(0,1) at least 1) = 2 times 0.159 = 0.317 — about a 32 percent chance, far higher than the 16 percent chance of merely ending above 1.

Reflecting the post-hitting path turns a hard 'did it ever cross?' question into an easy endpoint probability.

The first-hitting-time of a level has infinite expected value: the path reaches any level with probability one, yet the average waiting time is infinite. 'Sure to happen' and 'happens soon on average' are different things.

Also called
reflection principlemirror trick for the maximum反射原理